MB

Market_Betting

Multi-track +EV dashboard

Data as of —
Track 1

Fixed-line pick’em (PrizePicks / Underdog)

— Open flags
— Closed & graded
— Average CLV edge
— Positive-edge rate

Running average CLV-equivalent edge

Running average of clv_edge_at_close across every closed flag, in the order each line closed — not a running sum, which grows without bound as more flags close and stops meaning anything. This is the project’s long-run trendline — expected to include real losing stretches.

Currently flagged opportunities

Open lines from the live hourly pipeline, sorted by model edge. Check exactly two PrizePicks flags to size them as a 2-pick Power Play entry below.

Player Team Stat Side Platform Line Model edge Game time

Sizing calculator

Runs the exact same math as scripts/sizing/sizing_engine.py — quarter-Kelly, the PrizePicks account-risk dampener, the same-game caution factor, and the 5%-of-bankroll cap — entirely in your browser. Your bankroll figure is never saved anywhere; it resets the moment you leave or reload this page. This stays exactly as manual as the script: one entry (two legs) at a time, and it has no memory of any stake you've already placed, so update the bankroll figure yourself between entries.

Selected legs

None selected. Check two PrizePicks flags in the table above.

Recently closed flags

The last 25 lines to resolve, most recent first.

Player Stat Side Platform Closing line CLV edge at close Closed
Track 2

Cross-venue arbitrage (Kalshi + Polymarket)

— Flags this run
— Single-venue (YES+NO)
— Cross-venue pairs
— Fillable at flagged size

Currently flagged arbitrage opportunities

Output of the latest automated run of scripts/run_arbitrage_pipeline.py, sorted by net profit per dollar risked, after each venue's real taker fee is subtracted. This table replaces itself completely on every run — it is a point-in-time snapshot, not a running log the way the pick’em CLV chart above is. Sizing a flagged pair is still a manual step (sizing_engine.py arbitrage size) — this page never sizes or places anything.

Type Venue A Market A Ask A Venue B Market B Ask B Net profit / $1 Fillable Legal footprint
Track 3

Weather / climate markets (Kalshi)

— Open flags
— Closed & graded
— Average CLV edge
— Positive-edge rate

Currently flagged contracts

Open lines from the daily weather calibration pipeline, sorted by model edge. Kalshi is the only venue this track ingests, so there is no cross-venue consensus benchmark here — the closing-price benchmark (a contract disappearing from a fresh pull) is what grades these flags instead, and it works well for this track specifically because weather contracts resolve in days, not weeks or months.

City Target date Forecast Strike Side Market price Model edge Lead time

Recently closed flags

The last 25 contracts to resolve or drop off the board, most recent first.

City Target date Side Closing price CLV edge at close Closed
Track 4

Down-ballot politics (Kalshi + Polymarket)

— Open flags
— Closed & graded
— Average CLV edge
— Avg. time to resolution

Currently flagged races

Open positions from the daily politics pipeline, sorted by model edge. These are long-dated positions — a race can sit open for weeks or months before it resolves, unlike pick’em or arbitrage flags, which close same-day. The Time to resolution column is the whole point of this track’s frontend card: it tells you, at a glance, how long your capital would stay tied up if you took this position. Rows waiting longer than 60 days are highlighted.

Candidate Party State Race Venue Market price Model edge Time to resolution

Recently closed flags

The last 25 races to resolve or drop off the board, most recent first.

Candidate Party State Venue Closing price CLV edge at close Closed